Analysis Engine 01 · Risk Audit

Stock Risk Analysis — Bankruptcy Screening & Value Trap Detection

Screen every stock for bankruptcy risk, value traps, and financial distress. We calculate the Altman Z-Score from SEC EDGAR filings and flag companies in the danger zone before they blow up your portfolio.

Why Risk Screening Matters

Most investors focus on upside — which stock will go up the most. Professional investors focus on downside first. The single most destructive event for a portfolio is a permanent loss of capital from a bankruptcy or fraud.

The Altman Z-Score was designed to catch these signals 1-2 years before they become obvious. It combines five balance sheet ratios into a single number that predicts financial distress with 80-90% accuracy for non-financial companies.

What Our Risk Audit Covers

Every stock on FairValueLabs gets a complete risk profile built from SEC EDGAR public filings:

  • Altman Z-Score — the classic 5-factor bankruptcy predictor, calculated from the latest 10-K
  • Z-Score 10-year trend — a declining trajectory is often more informative than the absolute number
  • Value trap detection — cross-referencing distress signals with our DCF valuation to flag stocks that look cheap but aren't
  • Sector risk context — how the company's risk profile compares to industry peers

How to Use This Section

Start with the Bankruptcy Risk Stocks page to see which companies are currently in the distress zone. Then check Value Traps to identify stocks that might fool you with a low P/E ratio while the fundamentals deteriorate underneath.

For every ticker, click through to the individual analysis page where you can see the full Z-Score component breakdown, 10-year history, and links to the source SEC filings.

Risk tools

Explore risk research

01

Bankruptcy Risk Stocks

Companies in the Altman Z-Score distress zone (below 1.8) — the highest-probability candidates for Chapter 11.

02

Value Trap Stocks

Stocks that look cheap on paper but have deteriorating fundamentals. High bankruptcy risk + negative margin of safety = value trap.

03

Learn: Altman Z-Score Explained

Understand the five financial ratios behind the Z-Score and how to interpret distress, gray, and safe zones.

High-risk stocks

Currently in the distress zone

View all stocks →
BA $225.08

The Boeing Company

Z-Score 1.02
Fair Value $82.66
Moat ★★☆☆☆
Div Safety N/A
High Risk MoS: -172.3%
DAL $71.21

Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Z-Score 1.30
Fair Value $130.11
Moat ★★☆☆☆
Div Safety B
High Risk MoS: 45.3%
INTC $65.70

Intel Corporation

Z-Score 1.71
Fair Value $79.94
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety N/A
Caution MoS: 17.8%
KHC $22.21

The Kraft Heinz Company

Z-Score 0.92
Fair Value $14.56
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety C
High Risk MoS: -52.5%
VTRS $14.87

Viatris Inc.

Z-Score 1.11
Fair Value $41.00
Moat ★★½☆☆
Div Safety D
Caution MoS: 63.7%
FAQ

Common questions

What is the Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a formula combining five financial ratios from a company's balance sheet to predict the probability of bankruptcy within two years. A score below 1.8 indicates the distress zone, 1.8-3.0 is the gray zone, and above 3.0 is considered safe. We calculate it from SEC EDGAR 10-K filings.

How do you detect value traps?

A value trap is a stock that appears cheap (low P/E, high dividend yield) but has deteriorating fundamentals. We flag stocks that combine a high bankruptcy risk (Z-Score below 1.8) with a negative margin of safety — meaning the market price is already above our DCF estimate despite the distress signals.

How often is the risk data updated?

Financial statements are updated after each new SEC 10-K or 10-Q filing. Our automated pipeline checks SEC EDGAR and recalculates all Z-Score components when fresh data is available.

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