Stock Risk Analysis — Bankruptcy Screening & Value Trap Detection
Screen every stock for bankruptcy risk, value traps, and financial distress. We calculate the Altman Z-Score from SEC EDGAR filings and flag companies in the danger zone before they blow up your portfolio.
Why Risk Screening Matters
Most investors focus on upside — which stock will go up the most. Professional investors focus on downside first. The single most destructive event for a portfolio is a permanent loss of capital from a bankruptcy or fraud.
The Altman Z-Score was designed to catch these signals 1-2 years before they become obvious. It combines five balance sheet ratios into a single number that predicts financial distress with 80-90% accuracy for non-financial companies.
What Our Risk Audit Covers
Every stock on FairValueLabs gets a complete risk profile built from SEC EDGAR public filings:
- Altman Z-Score — the classic 5-factor bankruptcy predictor, calculated from the latest 10-K
- Z-Score 10-year trend — a declining trajectory is often more informative than the absolute number
- Value trap detection — cross-referencing distress signals with our DCF valuation to flag stocks that look cheap but aren't
- Sector risk context — how the company's risk profile compares to industry peers
How to Use This Section
Start with the Bankruptcy Risk Stocks page to see which companies are currently in the distress zone. Then check Value Traps to identify stocks that might fool you with a low P/E ratio while the fundamentals deteriorate underneath.
For every ticker, click through to the individual analysis page where you can see the full Z-Score component breakdown, 10-year history, and links to the source SEC filings.
Explore risk research
Bankruptcy Risk Stocks
Companies in the Altman Z-Score distress zone (below 1.8) — the highest-probability candidates for Chapter 11.
Value Trap Stocks
Stocks that look cheap on paper but have deteriorating fundamentals. High bankruptcy risk + negative margin of safety = value trap.
Learn: Altman Z-Score Explained
Understand the five financial ratios behind the Z-Score and how to interpret distress, gray, and safe zones.
Currently in the distress zone
The Boeing Company
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
Delta Air Lines, Inc.
Intel Corporation
The Kraft Heinz Company
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
Viatris Inc.
Common questions
What is the Altman Z-Score?
The Altman Z-Score is a formula combining five financial ratios from a company's balance sheet to predict the probability of bankruptcy within two years. A score below 1.8 indicates the distress zone, 1.8-3.0 is the gray zone, and above 3.0 is considered safe. We calculate it from SEC EDGAR 10-K filings.
How do you detect value traps?
A value trap is a stock that appears cheap (low P/E, high dividend yield) but has deteriorating fundamentals. We flag stocks that combine a high bankruptcy risk (Z-Score below 1.8) with a negative margin of safety — meaning the market price is already above our DCF estimate despite the distress signals.
How often is the risk data updated?
Financial statements are updated after each new SEC 10-K or 10-Q filing. Our automated pipeline checks SEC EDGAR and recalculates all Z-Score components when fresh data is available.
Other research engines
Fair Value Lab
Is the stock undervalued or overvalued? DCF intrinsic value estimate and margin of safety for every ticker.
Moat Ratings
Does the company have a durable competitive advantage? ROIC stability, gross margin trends, and switching costs.
Dividend Safety
Is the dividend sustainable? Payout ratio, FCF coverage, and growth streak analysis.